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Australian Researchers Examine Motivation Behind Increased Support For Legalization

Support for adult-use cannabis legalization is stronger now at the global level than at any other time since the start of international cannabis prohibition. Now that Uruguay, Canada, and Malta have passed national cannabis legalization measures and the sky didn’t fall, that should only further add to the momentum for legalization in other countries.

Researchers in Australia recently examined survey data in an attempt to try to identify why support for cannabis legalization has risen in recent decades, specifically in the United States. The researchers leading the study were all affiliated with The University of Queensland, and they examined, “historical changes in legalization attitudes and the period-specific individual and external influences on these.”

“A systematic search was conducted for publications in PubMed, EMBASE, and PsycINFO up to October 2019. Six studies with a regionally or nationally representative adult US-based populations were included.” the researchers stated regarding their methodology.

“A secondary analysis was conducted using data from the National Survey of Drug Use and Health. Hierarchical age-period-cohort analysis assessed the trends in perceived harmfulness and availability of cannabis between 1996 and 2018. Ecological comparisons were made between these perceptions and support for cannabis legalization over time.” the researchers went on to state.

The researchers determined that support for adult-use cannabis legalization started to increase considerably in the 1990s, and that the increase continued in a linear fashion until 2019. That is reflected in the results of Gallup’s annual cannabis legalization poll, a graph of which can be seen below:

Gallup polling cannabis legalization 2021

Gallup’s polling is particularly useful because they have asked the same question every year since 1969. As you can clearly see, support for legalization was a dismal 25% in the mid-1990s, and it continued to rise nearly every year through 2020 when it leveled off at 68%.

“Most people developed more liberal views, with no evidence that changes within any one sociodemographic group was disproportionately responsible for the overall attitudinal change. Increases in the proportion of people who use cannabis, non-religious population and political liberalism may partially explain the increased support for legalization.” the researchers determined.

“The decline in perceived harmfulness of cannabis, as reflected in the media, may have contributed to the increased support for legalization.” the researchers stated.

“The US population has become more accepting of cannabis legalization. The attitudinal change is related to changes in the perceived risks and benefits of cannabis use, influenced by broader political and cultural changes over the study period.” the researchers concluded.

The researchers obviously have their views regarding why cannabis legalization has increased, however, I don’t necessarily agree with all of their conclusions. I definitely do not think that there was a ‘decline in the perceived harmfulness of cannabis reflected in the media.’

To back up that personal belief, I would point to the ongoing ‘coverage’ by media companies that are blatant reefer madness propaganda. Mainstream media outlets still regularly provide cannabis opponents access to their platforms and allow them to publish nonsense without any attempt to fact-check it from what I can tell. What has changed is the increased volume of peer-reviewed studies regarding cannabis, and the increased availability and awareness of the results of those studies, many of which directly refute long-standing anti-cannabis talking points.

I also don’t think that increasing support for cannabis legalization is the direct result of an increase in ‘political liberalism’ being that support for cannabis legalization has increased among voters from all major political parties. I personally believe that there are two major factors at play in the recorded increase in support for legalization, and this goes for polling data in the United States and everywhere else.

First, many people have always supported legalization and are only now willing to admit it since prohibition is crumbling and the stigma is reducing. Secondly, people that were on the fence about cannabis legalization quickly move to the ‘supporter’ category when they see that legalization is working wherever it is allowed.

Once legalization goes from a hypothetical to implementation, and it works, many cannabis prohibition talking points instantly die in the minds of many voters. The legalization supporter base expands to non-consumers that just want to see sensible public policy enacted. It also expands to people that want to see society reap the economic benefits of a regulated industry. That is likely why you see polling results continue to improve as legalization continues to spread, at least in my opinion.

Poll Shows That Most In U.S. Want Their State Legalized

Cannabis first became prohibited at the federal level in the United States in 1937. Complete prohibition was in place in the U.S. in all states until 1996 when California became the first state to legalize cannabis for medical use.

Since that time, every state except two (Idaho and Nebraska) have legalized cannabis for medical use, and an ever-growing list of states have legalized cannabis for adult use. Cannabis is also completely legal in Washington D.C.

Now, over 40% of U.S. residents live in a state/district where cannabis is completely legal. However, cannabis still remains illegal at the federal level.

A recent poll by CBS found that a majority of U.S. residents want their states to legalize cannabis for adult use, as outlined in a news release by our friends at NORML which can be found below:

The majority of US adults support legalizing the recreational use of marijuana in their states, according to nationwide polling data compiled by CBS News.

Fifty-five percent of respondents say that they want to see legalization in their home states. Among those already residing in legal states, 60 percent said that they favor the policy change.

Fifty-nine percent of respondents also favor expunging the criminal records of those with past marijuana convictions.

Few of those polled acknowledged being regular consumers of cannabis, and this decision appeared to be largely unaffected by the plant’s legal status. Seven percent of respondents residing in legal states reporting using cannabis versus five percent of those surveyed in jurisdictions where its recreational use remains illegal.

The CBS poll is the latest in a series of recent national polls showing that most Americans believe that the possession and use of marijuana by adults should be legally permitted.

Why Is It Taking So Long To Legalize Cannabis At The Federal Level In The US?

Cannabis prohibition is one of the worst public policies in human history. It goes well beyond the negative impact that is experienced by the person subjected to an initial prohibition-based penalty. The negative impact lingers well after the person has paid their fine and/or served their jail sentence.

They have to carry the ‘cannabis scarlet letter’ for years into the future in many cases, and for some people, the designation of being a ‘cannabis criminal’ is something that they have to deal with forever. The designation ruins the person’s life by preventing them from getting jobs, housing, and can even prevent them from obtaining volunteer positions in the future. 

It’s like an anchor that keeps them from moving on with their lives, and it’s happened to countless people for many decades, which is beyond unfortunate. Yes, people can get the cannabis offense expunged from their record, however, it only happens after a judge approves the request (which they do not have to do) and the individual has paid a substantial sum of money. 

For many folks convicted of a cannabis offense obtaining an expungement is simply not an option. The financial hurdle is too great, and they often decide to just endure the negative fallout from having a cannabis conviction on their record because there’s no other viable option to do otherwise. It’s one of many reasons why cannabis prohibition needs to end immediately across the United States to ensure that no further harm is needlessly inflicted on cannabis consumers, many of which being patients who rely on medical cannabis.

Reform Continues To Spread At The State Level

The United States is in the midst of a cannabis policy reform revolution at the local level, with 18 states and Washington D.C. having passed adult-use cannabis legalization measures either at the ballot box or via legislative action since 2012. Regulation is clearly better than prohibition, with state-level cannabis legalization succeeding by virtually every measure. 

Despite all of those victories, the harms of cannabis prohibition still linger in too many states as well as at the federal level in the U.S. Federal cannabis prohibition is becoming less tenable with every passing year. Just this year alone three states have passed legalization measures – Virginia, New York, and New Mexico. Obviously, the year is only roughly 1/3rd of the way over, and it’s quite possible that more states could legalize cannabis for adult use in the coming months. Unfortunately, which side of a state border you live on still determines your fate if/when you are caught with cannabis, and that makes no sense.

As it stands right now, well over 40% of people in the United States live in a state which has legalized cannabis for adult use. All except two states (Nebraska and Idaho) have passed some type of medical cannabis measure, ranging from CBD-only legislation to comprehensive medical cannabis reform. When it comes to cannabis policy in the United States, geography means everything because of federal prohibition. When will that change and every adult in the United States be allowed to possess a personal amount of cannabis?

Executive Action Or Congress?

When it comes to ending federal cannabis prohibition in the United States, there are two avenues that can be pursued. The first is via executive action, with President Joe Biden hypothetically taking it upon himself to initiate a bureaucratic process to get cannabis removed from the Controlled Substances list. The Biden Administration has made it clear that this is not a priority, so no one should hold their breath waiting for executive action.

The second avenue for achieving an end to federal cannabis prohibition is via Congress. If there was enough political will in Congress to pass a legalization bill, that’s all it would take to end federal cannabis legalization. It’s a far-more straight path to legalization compared to executive action. Unfortunately, it’s yet to happen for some reason, even though support for national cannabis legalization is greater now than at any other time in United States history.

With that being said, recent comments made by Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer are encouraging. “I want to make my arguments to him, as many other advocates will,” Schumer stated in a recent interview with POLITICO regarding President Biden. “But at some point we’re going to move forward, period.”

Senator Schumer seems to recognize the obvious fact that cannabis policy reform is an extremely popular political issue, which is something that appears to be lost on the Biden administration for reasons unknown. In addition to being the right thing to do, pushing for cannabis legalization is also politically viable, and one would think that federal politicians would push hard for legalization, if for any reason to help boost their chances of staying in office. 

As of right now, federal legalization appears closer than it has since prohibition was first enacted in 1937, yet there’s no clear date for when it will finally happen. A significant amount of positive comments are being thrown around by federal politicians, however, actions speak louder than words. While we continue to wait for Congress to get their act together make sure to contact your federal officials and urge them to support sensible cannabis laws. Do your part!

U.S. Cannabis Tax Revenue Tops $3 Billion In 2020

Cannabis legalization in the United States at the state level has been a smashing success by virtually every measure. With New York, Virginia, and New Mexico having passed legalization measures via legislative action in 2021, the number of legal states is now up to 18. Washington D.C. has also legalized.

Obviously, not every state has fully implemented its legalization reform measure that was passed by voters or lawmakers. However, several have, with Colorado being the first state to allow legal adult-use sales starting in 2014.

2020 was a banner year for cannabis tax revenues in the United States, with total revenue topping $3 billion. Below is more information about it from our friends at NORML via a recent news release:

Tax revenue from state-legal cannabis sales rose significantly in 2020, according to an analysis by the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy.

Authors reported, “Powered by an expanding legal market and a pandemic-driven boost in cannabis use, excise and sales taxes on cannabis jumped by more than $1 billion in 2020, or 58 percent, compared to a year earlier. In total, these taxes raised more than $3 billion last year, including $1 billion in California alone.”

Transactions specific to the commercial market in California were responsible for over one-third of the nation’s total cannabis tax growth in 2020. Year-over-year, cannabis tax revenue rose some 40 percent in the state.

Significant growth in revenue also occurred in 2020 in states with more established markets, such as Colorado and Washington.

Overall, the report acknowledged that cannabis-related tax revenues still comprise only a small percentage of states’ overall budgets. However, authors emphasized that these tax revenues are among “states’ fastest growing revenue sources.”

Full text of the ITEP analysis is online. Additional information is available in the NORML fact sheet, “Marijuana Regulation: Impact on Health, Safety, Economy.”

Cannabis Legalization Is A Political Issue Most Americans Agree On

To say that the United States is divided when it comes to politics is a massive understatement. One could easily argue that the political climate in the U.S is more polarized than it has been in well over 100 years.

However, at a time when most U.S. voters do not seem to agree on almost anything, there is one issue that has support from all over the political spectrum, and that support continues to increase with every passing year.

That political issue is cannabis legalization. Support for cannabis legalization is at an all-time high in the United States, no pun intended, and that is reflected in the results of a new poll. Below is a news release about it from our friends at NORML:

Majorities of Democratic, Republican, and Independent voters endorse legalizing the use of marijuana for adults and this support is growing, according to polling data compiled by the firms FM3 Research and Fabrizio, Lee & Associates and first reported by MarijuanaMoment.net.

Pollsters surveyed voters in Arizona, Montana, New Jersey, and South Dakota. A majority of voters in each of the four states decided in favor of adult-use legalization ballot measures on Election Day.

Sixty-eight percent of those surveyed – including 85 percent of Democrats, 66 percent of Independents, and 53 percent of Republicans – support legalizing marijuana. That finding is consistent with other nationwide polls.

More than one-quarter of respondents (27 percent) – including 33 percent of Democrats, 35 percent of Independents, and 23 percent of Republicans – said that their views have become more favorable toward legalization in recent years. Sixty-five percent of respondents agreed with the statement, “Legalizing adult use of marijuana is a non-partisan issue that both liberal and conservative voters can get behind.”

Eighty-one percent of respondents agreed that the federal government should not interfere with state laws legalizing marijuana use.

Pollsters concluded: “The results carry important insights, especially for Republican elected officials” who often “cast cannabis legalization as a partisan wedge issue.” This position, pollsters acknowledged, is growing “increasingly untenable” with Republican voters.

Why The U.S. Still Pushes The Global Cannabis Reform Discussion Forward

If there is one thing most Americans can celebrate together across party lines about the turbulent events of last week, it is that cannabis reform moved forward, and significantly in the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election. Four more states moved into the recreational camp, with a total of five in sum passing cannabis reform over all. Several of those markets, notably, New Jersey and North Dakota, are designed to fast-forward recreational market implementation.

Indeed, this was good news in a more global climate where recreational reform has very much been put on (tempered) time release by just about everyone else also concurrently considering the question.

It also speaks volumes to the obvious and glaring reality that reformers still have to face: Namely, that in the highest ranks of the governing world – from the U.S. to Germany and New Zealand beyond that – the idea of recreational reform is on a delayed if far from back burner.

That said, it is also clear that the idea of medical reform is on the front of several national policy agendas, one way or the other. Namely, from North Dakota to New Zealand, the average voter believes that cannabis has impactful even if not yet (shamefully) scientifically proven efficacy. Even if they are not ready for recreational reform.

For this reason, it is also unlikely that the WHO will delay (again) another vote on reclassification – although where exactly this will end up at this point is anyone’s guess. Most people believe that cannabinoid-based drugs (at minimum) will end up with Schedule II global designation (rather than say a more reasonable Schedule III). Certainly those with THC in them. Even if, in a last-minute nod to the holdouts, the raw plant ends up stuck in Schedule I, of any international treaty.

A Call For Federal Reform?

It is absolutely clear that one of the many negotiations that the new Biden-Harris team will engage in is the issue of federal reform. At this point, everyone who has been around the American discussion for decades knows that this, like many of the past Democratic Party platform positions on the same, was established in the name of “moderation for the election.” Even though, at this point, it is not likely to hold for long, even if it fits the character of those just elected.

Joe Biden has a rather unfortunate history with drug reform issues, at least legislatively, although the official platform is now set to change the basic bar on decriminalization. Kamala Harris as a prosecutor and politician in a state that has been medical friendly most of her career is also not exactly the best recreational advocate. Thus the so-far “moderate” position of the incoming
administration that nobody believes will last for long.

With four years of tempestuous negotiations already on the docket, no matter who wins the American Senate in the January runoffs in Georgia, it is also just as clear that national reform will absolutely be on the agenda at least by the midterms (in 2022) if not the next general election in four years.

This in turn, will continue to drive the conversation elsewhere, starting with Europe.

It is also clear that the rest of the world is avidly watching not Canada, but in fact the U.S. And that at least for now, in turn, federal decision-makers in the U.S. are waiting for the signoff of the WHO – an organization America will now be re-joining – before going any further. Even then, it is likely that, much like alcohol, marijuana reform will be a state-based rather than a federal decision for (at least) the first half of the new Administration’s term.

Be sure to stay abreast of developments. The International Cannabis Business Conference intends to return to Europe in 2021.

Cannabis Reform Is Poised To Win Big On Election Day In The U.S.

Today is Election Day in the United States where voter turnout is expected to be extremely strong. Presidential elections in the United States almost always have a higher voter turnout rate compared to midterm and special elections, however, this year’s enthusiasm for voting is through the roof.

At the time of the posting of this article voters across the United States are heading to the polls to cast their vote, with over 102 million voters having already voted early, either in person or by mail.

Voters in five U.S. states will see cannabis initiatives on their ballots. In Arizona, Montana, New Jersey, and South Dakota voters will decide on adult-use cannabis legalization measures.

In South Dakota and Mississippi, voters will decide on medical cannabis legalization initiatives. South Dakota is the first state to see both adult-use and medical legalization measures on the same ballot.

Whereas candidate races may take some time to determine a winner for various reasons, not the least of which is mail-in vote-counting provisions in states like Pennsylvania, the legalization measures in the previously listed states should be decided fairly quickly unless the vote totals are really, really close.

Polling leading up to Election Day has been favorable for all of the initiatives, which is a sign of the times. In a political environment that is often hostile and contentious, cannabis reform is something that a vast majority of U.S. residents can agree on.

Below is a summary of polling leading up to Election Day, via our friends at NORML:

  • Arizona – roughly 60% support for adult-use legalization
  • Montana – adult-use legalization is ahead 49-39%
  • New Jersey – over 60% support for adult-use legalization
  • South Dakota – 74% in favor of medical legalization and 51% for adult-use legalization
  • Mississippi – 52% support for medical legalization

Keep in mind with the numbers listed above, there were quite a few undecided voters that did not choose either way, so the support for the measures could likely be considerably higher (no pun intended) since presumably some of those voters will ultimately vote for the measure(s) that they see on their ballots.

Will Cannabis Play A Big Role In The 2020 U.S. Election?

Cannabis policy in the United States has advanced by leaps and bounds in the last couple of decades. Non-hemp cannabis is still very much illegal at the federal level in the U.S., however, many states have reformed their cannabis laws, including a growing list of states that have legalized cannabis for adult use.

Support has never been greater for national cannabis legalization in the U.S. with the most recent Gallup poll (October 2019) finding that 66% of U.S. voters support adult-use legalization. That is up from 44% in 2010. The times are changing, and they are changing fast.

The 2020 Election in the United States is quickly approaching, and a number of states are likely to vote on adult-use and/or medical cannabis legalization. Below is a recap, taken from an outstanding summary published by our friends at Leafly:

  • *Arizona (adult-use)
  • *Montana (adult-use)
  • Mississippi (medical)
  • *Nebraska (medical)
  • New Jersey (adult-use)
  • South Dakota (medical and adult-use)

The states that have an asterisk by them have seen campaigns turn in enough signatures to make the ballot, however, final verification by state officials is still pending, so in theory, the measures could not actually make the ballot if enough signatures prove to be invalid. Hopefully, all of them will make the ballot.

Regardless, reform is already going to be on the ballot in at least Mississippi, New Jersey, and South Dakota, which is significant. Also, elected officials will be up for re-election in every state, and fresh faces are trying to become elected in November, and every one of them presumably has some stance on cannabis policy for better or worse.

Cannabis policy is a serious topic now in U.S. politics, and the years of expressing support for cannabis reform being considered ‘political suicide’ are long gone. Now, if a candidate is not on the right side of history, they receive significant push back because cannabis is such a popular and mainstream political issue. It can literally make the difference between someone being elected or not.

Studies have found that when cannabis reform is on the ballot it increases voter turnout because voters that normally don’t participate do so in order to vote for cannabis, and that has a butterfly effect on the rest of the election in the jurisdiction.

If cannabis reform actually makes the ballot in every state listed above and voter turnout spikes, it could have a significant impact on local, state, and even federal elections. Even in states where reform isn’t specifically on the ballot, cannabis voters will still have a significant impact on elections via their support of pro-cannabis candidates over anti-cannabis candidates. The cannabis community is a huge voting block now, thankfully.

The 2020 Election is arguably the most significant election in United States history, and all eyes will be on the results in November. All we can do is wait and watch as things develop and see how the dust settles, but it’s a safe bet that cannabis voters are going to heavily influence voting outcomes across the country.

Is Recreational Cannabis Reform Finally Internationally A La Mode?

With Mike Bloomberg calling for decrim and record expungement in the United States as he tests the political race, and German politicians moving, inching, deliberating slowly towards acceptance of the new normal, it is clear that 2020 is going to be another showdown year on cannabis.

Yet what exactly does this mean besides political lip flap? Will anywhere (like the United States or Germany) suddenly pop “pro weed” for any purpose? And what does that mean for the industry, if not users and patients, really?

Legalization Is Still A “Long” Game…But…

Nobody really thinks that federal legalization in the United States is going to happen before 2021, no matter who wins the White House. That said, this great big green enchilada is coming to a Congressional hearing on both sides of Capitol Hill as soon as the dust clears on the Presidential election. That said, all those hearings and committee meetings and poison amendments to slow this bad boy down, take time.

In Germany right now, there is also a fascinating drum beat now thrumming. The discussion of where the country goes next is bringing cannabis squarely into the mainstream political debate for the first time ever. Look for parallel developments here from now on. But things are absolutely cooking at a new tempo despite everyone’s attempt to “just stay sensible.” Germans are giddy about the prospects of legalization on all fronts. Starting with not arresting legal patients. However, beyond that, there are marches in the streets here about the need for ways to protect the industry at its retail front (think CBD) as well as every kind of user. Not to mention better ways to make sure that pharmacies are not caught in the middle of still tough access and approvals issues.

It is not unrealistic to believe that within 24 months, there will be a national discussion about legalization as Germany again redresses its political issues overall. And that will have huge implications on the discussion globally.

Business (Starting With Prescriptions) Follows Politics

As much as the industry has been a voice for reform, ultimately the legal business follows political reform, obviously. And that still has a long way to go and in places where the industry still needs advocates. Starting with doctors.

As Germany has proven, legitimization at a federal level does little to move doctors to prescribe a drug of any kind, let alone this one. There are many issues still in play about basic patient access, and not all of those can be solved politically – indeed most of them cannot. 

That said, many of those can use the help of the industry, starting with an increased focus on doctor education, particularly in Europe.

For this reason, any ostensibly “political” marketing campaign attached to the plant or products also should understand that the most important hills are still to be won, and far from the centres of political power. No matter how also obviously full and formal reform should be on the top of everyone’s agenda, even if a step at a time.

For an in-depth look at the efforts on the ground at the last mile of the discussion in Germany and internationally, be sure to attend the panels on regulatory reform and doctor education at the Berlin International Cannabis Business Conference, April 1-3, 2020.